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Article 11 - Estimators of the expected shortfall

Article 11
Estimators of the expected shortfall

1. Institutions shall calculate the estimate of the left-tail expected shortfall of a time series X in accordance with the following formula:

\mathrm{ES}_{\mathrm{Left}}(X) = \frac{-1}{\alpha \times N} \times \left\{ \sum_{i=1}^{[\alpha \times N]} X_{(i)} + (\alpha \times N - [\alpha \times N]) \times X_{([\alpha \times N] + 1)} \right\}

where:

—

N is the number of observations in the time series;

—

α = 2,5 %;

—

[\alpha \times N] denotes the integer part of the product α ×N;

—

X_{(i)} denotes the i-th smallest observation in the time series X.

2. Institutions shall calculate the estimate of the right-tail expected shortfall of a time series X in accordance with the following formula:

\mathrm{ES}_{\mathrm{Right}}(X) = \mathrm{ES}_{\mathrm{Left}}(-X)

where:

—

[IMAGE_1] ([IMAGE_2]) is the estimate of left-tail expected shortfall for the time series [IMAGE_3] calculated in accordance with paragraph 1.

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